EuroBasket Futures Projections
Estimated win probabilities based on 10K simulations
EuroBasket 2025 is the 42nd edition of FIBA Europe’s men’s continental championship, held from August 27 to September 14, 2025.
The 24 national teams start in four groups hosted across Cyprus, Finland, Poland, and Latvia, with the knockout stage—including the finals—taking place in Riga. After the group phase, four teams from each group advance to the single-elimination bracket to crown Europe’s top basketball team.
Based on my proprietary team ratings, below are the odds each country wins the tournament.
As a note, the “Other” group includes the following countries: Finland, Montenegro, Israel, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Poland, Georgia, Czechia, Estonia, Great Britain, Belgium, Sweden, Portugal, Cypress, and Iceland.